The $3 Trillion Question: Are Cash Payments About to Go Extinct?

Payments Matrix Story

3 trillion

cashless transactions by 2030

50%

e-commerce via digital wallets by 2024

70%

rise in payment fraud since 2020

60%

of central banks exploring CBDCs

CFOs, the payments landscape is transforming. Cash is fading, digital wallets are taking over, and instant payments are the new norm. 

PwC’s “Payments 2025 & Beyond” report shows cashless transactions will triple by 2030, reshaping how money moves.

This article will unpack the key trends and what they mean for finance leaders. Let’s dive in!

This article will unpack the key trends and what they mean for finance leaders

Cashless Payments to Triple by 2030: Are We Ready for a Cash-Free World?

“Global cashless transactions will soar from 1 trillion in 2020 to nearly 3 trillion by 2030. Asia-Pacific alone will grow by 109% by 2025. Is the world prepared for this seismic shift?”

The widespread adoption of smartphones, digital wallets, and robust payment infrastructures fuels this incredible growth. Asia-Pacific is leading the charge, growing at an unparalleled pace, while Africa’s 78% and Europe’s 64% growth further underscore this global trend. 

Number of cashless transactions in billions

Meanwhile, the US and Canada are trailing at 43%, signaling potential gaps in digital adoption or policy roadblocks. As cash recedes into the background, questions arise: Will developing economies capitalize on this trend to drive financial inclusion? And how will lagging regions catch up in a world moving at the speed of data?

Digital Wallets to Dominate E-Commerce: Over 50% of Payments by 2024—What’s Next?

“Digital wallets are set to surpass cards, handling more than 50% of global e-commerce transactions by 2024. Is your business ready for this shift?”

Digital wallets like Alipay, Apple Pay, and Google Pay are not just payment tools—they’re ecosystems. 

Digital wallets connect the evolving present and the revolutionary future

In 2020, digital wallet adoption grew by 7%, signaling a growing consumer preference for convenience and security. With 86% of industry leaders prioritizing fintech partnerships, traditional financial institutions are racing to integrate these platforms into their offerings. 

The shift is particularly pronounced in emerging markets, where QR-code-based transactions are leapfrogging legacy systems. But as wallets dominate, a critical question looms: How will banks and card providers stay relevant in a wallet-first world?

Cross-Border Payments in 36 Seconds: Is Instant the New Standard?

“A recent pilot achieved cross-border payments in just 36 seconds, from Australia to the UK. Will instant global payments redefine international commerce?”

The traditional correspondent banking model, often slow and costly, is being upended by instant payment innovations like P27 in the Nordics and ISO 20022. Forty-two percent of financial leaders strongly believe cross-border, instant payments will accelerate by 2025. 

This isn’t just about speed—it’s about redefining global trade. Instant payments empower businesses to reduce friction, enhance liquidity, and foster trust. However, with increased velocity comes the need for robust compliance and cybersecurity measures. Can regulators keep pace with this rapid evolution?

Fraud Up 70% in 2020: Can Payments Stay Secure in a Digital World?

“With a 70% spike in attempted payment fraud in 2020, the payments industry faces an existential challenge. Is innovation outpacing security?”

As digital payments grow, so do vulnerabilities. Nearly half (48%) of industry leaders identify cybersecurity and data privacy as their top regulatory concerns. Tools like machine learning, risk scoring, and mule account modeling are becoming essential. 

Yet, the trade-off between robust security measures and seamless customer experiences remains a challenge. Collaboration among banks, fintechs, and regulators is critical. 

The industry must ask: How do we balance innovation with security to maintain trust in the system?

60% of Central Banks Exploring CBDCs: Is This the End of Traditional Money?

“Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are gaining traction, with 14% already conducting pilot projects. Will they redefine money as we know it?”

CBDCs bridge the gap between traditional banking and modern digital needs, offering secure, sovereign-backed alternatives to private cryptocurrencies. China’s digital yuan is a trailblazer, with its debut during the Winter Olympics highlighting its potential. 

Top ten territories in number of retail of CBDC

Meanwhile, skepticism around private cryptocurrencies like Diem persists, with concerns about monetary policy control. With central banks racing to innovate, the question isn’t if CBDCs will arrive—it’s when and how they will coexist with existing financial systems.

80% of Financial Firms Outsourcing by 2025: Is M&A the Answer?

“With 80% of firms planning to outsource payment infrastructures, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in payments are heating up. Will consolidation drive innovation or stifle competition?”

The payments ecosystem is witnessing a wave of consolidation, with deals like Mastercard acquiring Vocalink and Global Payments merging with TSYS. The goal? Scale, innovation, and relevance in a rapidly evolving market. As digital wallets and open-loop technologies gain traction, traditional players are doubling down on partnerships and acquisitions to stay competitive. 

However, this consolidation raises questions about market dominance and the potential stifling of smaller innovators. Will the race for scale create an inclusive ecosystem, or will it widen the gap between big players and challengers?

Conclusion: Numbers That Speak Volumes

The payments industry is at a crossroads, defined by unprecedented growth, innovation, and challenges. From tripling cashless transactions to instant cross-border payments, the future promises opportunities and complexities. The numbers reveal a world on the brink of a cashless, digital-first economy. 

The pressing question is: Who will lead, adapt, and innovate in this transformative era? As businesses and consumers navigate these changes, one thing is clear—the future of payments is already here.

Mike Berlin

Mike Berlin

Director, Digital Transformation

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